Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.052695 0.057207 0.061775 0.066738 0.071970 0.077316 0.083183
2025-03-23 0.046421 0.053105 0.060108 0.067964 0.076505 0.085482 0.095604
2025-03-30 0.041408 0.049656 0.058563 0.068836 0.080296 0.092625 0.106832
2025-04-06 0.036750 0.046066 0.056417 0.068658 0.082627 0.097963 0.115965
2025-04-13 0.034018 0.044340 0.056094 0.070294 0.086808 0.105244 0.127209
2025-04-20 0.030452 0.041307 0.053979 0.069614 0.088138 0.109146 0.134533
2025-04-27 0.027938 0.039311 0.052889 0.069959 0.090512 0.114143 0.143045
2025-05-04 0.026226 0.038145 0.052665 0.071223 0.093884 0.120248 0.152821
2025-05-11 0.025144 0.037673 0.053211 0.073359 0.098261 0.127523 0.163991
2025-05-18 0.022125 0.034482 0.050170 0.070896 0.096910 0.127869 0.166868
2025-05-25 0.020276 0.032709 0.048818 0.070441 0.097935 0.130999 0.173022
2025-06-01 0.018587 0.031037 0.047495 0.069930 0.098813 0.133898 0.178863
2025-06-08 0.018029 0.030938 0.048274 0.072190 0.103276 0.141322 0.190391
2025-06-15 0.017135 0.030303 0.048293 0.073434 0.106447 0.147179 0.200061
2025-06-22 0.016189 0.029527 0.048073 0.074329 0.109155 0.152466 0.209062
2025-06-29 0.014955 0.028242 0.047079 0.074128 0.110403 0.155902 0.215772
2025-07-06 0.014429 0.027992 0.047512 0.075845 0.114159 0.162520 0.226485
2025-07-13 0.013205 0.026576 0.046212 0.075126 0.114653 0.164963 0.231955
2025-07-20 0.012389 0.025751 0.045720 0.075487 0.116558 0.169199 0.239690
2025-07-27 0.011903 0.025425 0.045934 0.076819 0.119756 0.175106 0.249561
2025-08-03 0.011692 0.025540 0.046795 0.079069 0.124210 0.182665 0.261583
2025-08-10 0.010266 0.023499 0.044322 0.076473 0.121999 0.181494 0.262398
2025-08-17 0.009463 0.022475 0.043348 0.075994 0.122652 0.184047 0.267985